Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
