Fortuna's poor form on home turf coupled with Cambuur's recent struggles on the road should make for a tight affair this weekend. That said, we can see the hosts just about edging out their visitors to emerge triumphant in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Cambuur
40.73% ( -2.51)	25.84% ( 0.63)	33.42% ( 1.88)

Both teams to score 54.29% (

-1.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.11% (

-2.15)

49.89% (

2.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.12% (

-1.95)

71.88% (

1.95)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.79% (

-2.16)

24.21% (

2.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.45% (

-3.17)

58.55% (

3.17)

Cambuur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.64% (

0.16)

28.36% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.9% (

0.2)

64.1% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 40.73%

Cambuur 33.42%

Draw 25.84%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Cambuur
1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.43) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.36) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.26) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.87% Total : 40.73%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.84%	0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.77) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.5) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.22) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.42%