Both teams are a tad low on confidence heading into this one, and that could make for a nervy and cagey affair. That said, we are tipping Cambuur to carry the day, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 54.34%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 23.93% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Cambuur	Draw	SBV Excelsior
54.34% ( 0.55)	21.73% ( -0.14)	23.93% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 61.63% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.79% (

0.25)

37.21% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.58% (

0.27)

59.42% (

-0.27)

Cambuur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.24% (

0.26)

13.76% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.95% (

0.51)

41.05% (

-0.5)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.46% (

-0.17)

28.53% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.68% (

-0.22)

64.32% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Cambuur 54.34%

SBV Excelsior 23.93%

Draw 21.73%

Cambuur	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.65% Total : 54.34%	1-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.73%	1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.41% Total : 23.93%