MX23RW : Thursday, August 11 11:54:19
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Aug 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK at Cambuur Stadion
Cambuur
0 - 2
SBV Excelsior

Schmidt (48')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Azarkan (10'), Baas (44')
Driouech (48'), Horemans (68')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Groningen 2-3 Cambuur
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Cambuur 1-0 SBV Excelsior

Both teams are a tad low on confidence heading into this one, and that could make for a nervy and cagey affair. That said, we are tipping Cambuur to carry the day, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 54.34%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 23.93% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
CambuurDrawSBV Excelsior
54.34% (0.546 0.55) 21.73% (-0.142 -0.14) 23.93% (-0.4 -0.4)
Both teams to score 61.63% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.79% (0.252 0.25)37.21% (-0.249 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.58% (0.271 0.27)59.42% (-0.268 -0.27)
Cambuur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.24% (0.259 0.26)13.76% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.95% (0.507 0.51)41.05% (-0.505 -0.5)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (-0.175 -0.17)28.53% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.68% (-0.223 -0.22)64.32% (0.226 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Cambuur 54.34%
    SBV Excelsior 23.93%
    Draw 21.73%
CambuurDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.79% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.72% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.4% (0.069 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.081 0.08)
3-2 @ 4.02% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.18% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.063 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.26% (0.037 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 54.34%
1-1 @ 9.77% (-0.075999999999999 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.93% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.73%
1-2 @ 6.12% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-1 @ 4.92% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.09% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 23.93%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Groningen 2-3 Cambuur
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Cambuur 1-1 Willem II
Wednesday, May 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Cambuur 1-1 RKC Waalwijk
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-3 Cambuur
Sunday, May 1 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Cambuur 1-2 PSV
Saturday, April 23 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 1-0 Cambuur
Sunday, April 10 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-4 SBV Excelsior (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: SBV Excelsior 1-1 ADO Den Haag
Tuesday, May 24 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: Heracles 1-3 SBV Excelsior
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: SBV Excelsior 3-0 Heracles
Wednesday, May 18 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: Roda JC 0-2 SBV Excelsior
Saturday, May 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: SBV Excelsior 2-2 NAC Breda
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
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Eredivisie Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Feyenoord11005233
2PSV EindhovenPSV11004133
3AZ AlkmaarAZ11002023
4SBV Excelsior11002023
5Ajax11003213
6FC Twente11001013
7Groningen10102201
8FC UtrechtUtrecht10102201
9FC VolendamVolendam10102201
10RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk10102201
11Heerenveen10100001
12Sparta RotterdamSparta10100001
13Fortuna SittardSittard100123-10
14NEC100101-10
15Go Ahead Eagles100102-20
16Cambuur100102-20
17Vitesse100125-30
18EmmenEmmen100114-30
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