Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 54.34%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 23.93% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.