Fortuna have been in good form of late, and coupled with the advantage of playing in front of their fans, we are tipping them to emerge triumphant, albeit by only a narrow margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.