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Aug 6, 2022 at 3.30pm UK at Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Sittard
2 - 3
Ajax
Gladon (6'), Yilmaz (87')
Seuntjens (27'), Ferati (82'), Gladon (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Taylor (48'), Rensch (51'), Brobbey (62')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almere City 1-1 Ajax
Sunday, July 31 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Fortuna Sittard 0-3 Ajax

Despite losing a number of their key players from last season, Ajax remain a huge force to reckon with, and we are backing them to cruise to a comfortable victory come the sound of the final whistle here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.98%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 11.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-3 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Fortuna SittardDrawAjax
11.19% (0.461 0.46) 15.82% (0.168 0.17) 72.98% (-0.63499999999999 -0.63)
Both teams to score 55.33% (1.104 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.57% (0.556 0.56)32.43% (-0.562 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.93% (0.64400000000001 0.64)54.06% (-0.649 -0.65)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.94% (1.195 1.2)40.05% (-1.202 -1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.29% (1.075 1.08)76.7% (-1.081 -1.08)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.31% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)7.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.6% (0.0019999999999953 0)27.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Sittard 11.19%
    Ajax 72.98%
    Draw 15.82%
Fortuna SittardDrawAjax
2-1 @ 3.3% (0.116 0.12)
1-0 @ 2.81% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.29% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 1.29% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.01% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 11.19%
1-1 @ 7.22% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.149 0.15)
0-0 @ 3.08% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 15.82%
0-2 @ 10.13% (-0.3 -0.3)
1-2 @ 9.27% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 8.67% (-0.259 -0.26)
1-3 @ 7.93% (0.027 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.239 -0.24)
0-4 @ 5.56% (-0.166 -0.17)
1-4 @ 5.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.63% (0.129 0.13)
0-5 @ 2.86% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-5 @ 2.61% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.33% (0.083 0.08)
0-6 @ 1.22% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.2% (0.043 0.04)
1-6 @ 1.12% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 72.98%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: NEC 0-1 Sittard
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 1-2 Vitesse
Wednesday, May 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 1-2 Sittard
Saturday, May 7 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 1-3 Feyenoord
Sunday, May 1 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, April 24 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 3-0 Sparta
Saturday, April 16 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-1 Ajax
Sunday, July 31 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Ajax 3-5 PSV
Saturday, July 30 at 7pm in Dutch Super Cup
Last Game: Ajax 3-1 Shakhtar
Tuesday, July 26 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Salzburg 2-3 Ajax
Tuesday, July 19 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Ajax 1-1 Eupen
Friday, July 15 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Ajax 3-0 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, July 9 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
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Eredivisie Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax22009366
2PSV EindhovenPSV22009366
3SBV Excelsior22005146
4FC Twente22004046
5AZ AlkmaarAZ22005236
6Feyenoord21105234
7NEC21014223
8RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk20203302
9FC UtrechtUtrecht20202202
10Heerenveen20200002
11Sparta RotterdamSparta201123-11
12Cambuur201102-21
13FC VolendamVolendam201136-31
14EmmenEmmen201125-31
15Groningen201138-51
16Fortuna SittardSittard200226-40
17Vitesse200238-50
18Go Ahead Eagles200227-50
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