Despite losing a number of their key players from last season, Ajax remain a huge force to reckon with, and we are backing them to cruise to a comfortable victory come the sound of the final whistle here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.98%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 11.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-3 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Ajax
11.19% ( 0.46)	15.82% ( 0.17)	72.98% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 55.33% (

1.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.57% (

0.56)

32.43% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.93% (

0.64)

54.06% (

-0.65)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.94% (

1.2)

40.05% (

-1.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.29% (

1.08)

76.7% (

-1.08)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.31% (

-0)

7.68% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.6% (

27.39% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 11.19%

Ajax 72.98%

Draw 15.82%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.49% Total : 11.19%	1-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.82%	0-2 @ 10.13% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 8.67% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 7.93% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.24) 0-4 @ 5.56% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 5.09% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.13) 0-5 @ 2.86% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.08) 0-6 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 2-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) 1-6 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 72.98%