SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 1-3 (7.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 18.63% | 19.35% | 62.02% |
| Both teams to score 62.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.99% | 33.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.26% | 54.73% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.18% | 30.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.91% | 67.09% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.7% | 10.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.3% | 33.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 5% 1-0 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.23% 2-0 @ 2.2% 3-1 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.51% Total : 18.63% | 1-1 @ 8.49% 2-2 @ 5.68% 0-0 @ 3.17% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.32% Total : 19.35% | 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-2 @ 8.2% 1-3 @ 7.32% 0-1 @ 7.21% 0-3 @ 6.21% 2-3 @ 4.31% 1-4 @ 4.16% 0-4 @ 3.53% 2-4 @ 2.45% 1-5 @ 1.89% 0-5 @ 1.61% 2-5 @ 1.11% 3-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.41% Total : 62.02% |
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