SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.1%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Vitesse |
44.72% ( -0.51) | 23.14% ( -0.01) | 32.14% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 63.34% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.12% ( 0.29) | 37.88% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.87% ( 0.32) | 60.13% ( -0.32) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.63% ( -0.08) | 17.37% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.23% ( -0.15) | 47.77% ( 0.15) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.65% ( 0.45) | 23.34% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.69% ( 0.65) | 57.3% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.07% Total : 44.72% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.14% |
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