SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 63.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 14.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
63.91% ( 0.15) | 21.67% ( -0.15) | 14.42% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.84% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.85% ( 0.55) | 51.15% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27% ( 0.48) | 73% ( -0.48) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.63% ( 0.23) | 15.37% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.85% ( 0.44) | 44.15% ( -0.44) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.98% ( 0.33) | 47.01% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.5% ( 0.25) | 82.49% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 1-0 @ 13.53% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 12.67% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.02% Total : 63.91% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.66% | 0-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.18% Total : 14.42% |
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