SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.81%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 12.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.86%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Vitesse |
72.81% ( -1.6) | 14.76% ( 0.92) | 12.42% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 64.78% ( -1.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.83% ( -3) | 23.16% ( 3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.52% ( -4.15) | 42.48% ( 4.14) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.41% ( -0.9) | 5.58% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.31% ( -2.66) | 21.69% ( 2.65) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.61% ( -1.44) | 31.38% ( 1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.25% ( -1.7) | 67.75% ( 1.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.72)3-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.31)4-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.32)4-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.76)3-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.33)5-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.4)5-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.22)5-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.32)6-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.3)6-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.2)4-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.19)6-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.22)Other @ 4.27% Total : 72.81% | 1-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.68) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.35)Other @ 0.44% Total : 14.76% | 1-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.34)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.62% Total : 12.42% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
