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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 86.32%. A draw had a probability of 9% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 4.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 4-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.08%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (1.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
86.32% ( -0.02) | 9.05% ( 0.01) | 4.63% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.11% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.65% ( 0.01) | 22.34% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.63% ( 0.01) | 41.36% ( -0.01) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.56% ( -0) | 3.44% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.98% ( -0.01) | 15.02% ( 0) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.89% ( 0.05) | 48.1% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.69% ( 0.04) | 83.3% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 3-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.72% ( 0)2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0)4-1 @ 6.51% ( 0)5-0 @ 6% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 5.57% ( -0)5-1 @ 4.39% ( 0)6-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 2.47% 4-2 @ 2.38% ( 0)7-0 @ 1.62% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.61% ( 0)7-1 @ 1.19% 6-2 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 4.08% Total : 86.32% | 1-1 @ 4.08% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.51% ( 0)0-0 @ 1.65% ( -0)Other @ 0.81% Total : 9.05% | 1-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 4.63% |
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