SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
48.71% ( 0.64) | 24.01% ( -0.2) | 27.29% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 57.11% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.28% ( 0.59) | 44.72% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.92% ( 0.56) | 67.08% ( -0.57) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.53% ( 0.48) | 18.47% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.34% ( 0.81) | 49.66% ( -0.81) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.04% ( -0.02) | 29.96% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.93% ( -0.02) | 66.07% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.42% Total : 48.71% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.16% Total : 27.29% |
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