SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 81.84%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 6.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.39%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.69%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
81.84% ( 0.15) | 12.03% ( -0.04) | 6.12% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 46.07% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.16% ( -0.31) | 31.83% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.63% ( -0.36) | 53.37% ( 0.36) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.16% ( -0.03) | 5.83% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.59% ( -0.1) | 22.41% ( 0.09) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.93% ( -0.57) | 51.07% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.61% ( -0.39) | 85.39% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.13)1-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.92% Total : 81.83% | 1-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.65% Total : 12.03% | 0-1 @ 2% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.21% Total : 6.12% |
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