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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 0-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Groningen win it was 2-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
15.1% ( -0.07) | 18.28% ( 0.11) | 66.62% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.96% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.33% ( -0.72) | 34.67% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.37% ( -0.82) | 56.63% ( 0.82) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.16% ( -0.56) | 35.84% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.38% ( -0.58) | 72.62% ( 0.58) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.35% ( -0.21) | 9.65% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.78% ( -0.49) | 32.22% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.31% Total : 15.1% | 1-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.22% Total : 18.28% | 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.18)0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 7.56% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 7.37% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 4.42% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 4.31% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 2.07% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.43% Total : 66.62% |
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