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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
47.56% ( -0.8) | 24.87% ( 0.2) | 27.57% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 54.48% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.71% ( -0.45) | 48.29% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.56% ( -0.41) | 70.43% ( 0.4) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.65% ( -0.52) | 20.35% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.25% ( -0.82) | 52.74% ( 0.82) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.39% ( 0.22) | 31.6% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.99% ( 0.26) | 68.01% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.75% Total : 47.55% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.78% Total : 27.57% |
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