Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
