Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 16.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Groningen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Groningen.