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Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 19, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion
A

Willem II
0 - 1
Ajax


Crowley (34')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Maduro (81')

We said: Willem II 0-4 Ajax

Ajax have been imperious in front of goal, and Willem II will need to be at their absolute best to stand any chance of keeping the defending champions at bay. We fancy the visitors to cruise to a comfortable victory at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 74.77%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 9.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.06%) and 0-3 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-0 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Willem IIDrawAjax
9.08%16.15%74.77%
Both teams to score 45.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.1%40.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.71%63.29%
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.04%49.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.37%84.63%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.65%9.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.5%31.49%
Score Analysis
    Willem II 9.08%
    Ajax 74.75%
    Draw 16.15%
Willem IIDrawAjax
1-0 @ 3.24%
2-1 @ 2.67%
2-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 9.08%
1-1 @ 7.68%
0-0 @ 4.67%
2-2 @ 3.16%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 16.15%
0-2 @ 13.11%
0-1 @ 11.06%
0-3 @ 10.36%
1-2 @ 9.1%
1-3 @ 7.19%
0-4 @ 6.14%
1-4 @ 4.26%
0-5 @ 2.91%
2-3 @ 2.5%
1-5 @ 2.02%
2-4 @ 1.48%
0-6 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 74.75%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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