With both clubs having failed to produce in recent matches, this feels like a difficult match to call. That said, when a team is on a seven-game losing streak, you cannot back them with any justification, leading us to predict a narrow victory for the visitors.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 49.49%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Utrecht.
