Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
