Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 54.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-0 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
Cambuur | Draw | Heerenveen |
21.6% ( -0.08) | 24.09% ( -0.04) | 54.31% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 50.68% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.72% ( 0.08) | 50.27% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.77% ( 0.07) | 72.22% ( -0.07) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.12% ( -0.03) | 37.87% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.35% ( -0.03) | 74.65% ( 0.03) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.58% ( 0.08) | 18.41% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.43% ( 0.13) | 49.57% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Cambuur | Draw | Heerenveen |
1-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 21.6% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.08% | 0-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.98% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.63% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.47% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 54.31% |
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