SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 88.68%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 3.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.57%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (1.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | FC Volendam |
88.68% ( 0.36) | 7.78% ( -0.2) | 3.55% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 46.54% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.47% ( 0.16) | 21.53% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59.75% ( 0.21) | 40.25% ( -0.21) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.01% ( 0.08) | 2.99% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 86.5% ( 0.25) | 13.5% ( -0.24) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.98% ( -0.61) | 52.02% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.98% ( -0.4) | 86.02% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 3-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.1)1-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.11)6-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.04)7-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.07)5-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)7-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)Other @ 5.16% Total : 88.67% | 1-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.6% Total : 7.78% | 1-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.36% Total : 3.55% |
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