Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 24.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.