Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
