There is little to choose between the teams heading into this one, and Saturday's game could easily swing either way. That said, we are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for NEC had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
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