SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.68%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 12.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 3-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.51%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
72.68% ( -0.88) | 15.28% ( 0.39) | 12.04% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 60.95% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.97% ( -0.63) | 27.03% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.48% ( -0.81) | 47.52% ( 0.81) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.52% ( -0.3) | 6.48% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.79% ( -0.83) | 24.21% ( 0.83) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.17% ( 0.28) | 34.83% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.44% ( 0.3) | 71.56% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.09)1-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.14)5-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.08)6-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.09)4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.98% Total : 72.68% | 1-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.31% Total : 15.28% | 1-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.11% Total : 12.04% |
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