SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
31.61% ( -0.15) | 22.99% ( 0.04) | 45.4% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 63.66% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.65% ( -0.23) | 37.35% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.44% ( -0.25) | 59.56% ( 0.25) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% ( -0.2) | 23.39% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.62% ( -0.29) | 57.38% ( 0.29) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.11% ( -0.05) | 16.89% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.07% ( -0.08) | 46.93% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.17% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.61% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.38% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.39% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.28% Total : 45.4% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
