SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 57.93%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 21.35% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 1-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Almere City |
57.93% ( 0.04) | 20.73% ( -0.02) | 21.35% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.68% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.43% ( 0.07) | 35.56% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.38% ( 0.08) | 57.62% ( -0.08) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.85% ( 0.03) | 12.15% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.23% ( 0.07) | 37.77% ( -0.07) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.22% ( 0.02) | 29.78% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.15% ( 0.03) | 65.85% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.52% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.44% Total : 57.93% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.73% | 1-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 3% Total : 21.35% |
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