Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
47.75% | 24.86% | 27.39% |
Both teams to score 54.39% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.66% | 48.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.52% | 70.48% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.71% | 20.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.35% | 52.65% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.23% | 31.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.8% | 68.19% |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 9.4% 2-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 5% 3-0 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.77% Total : 47.74% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 6.44% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 7.39% 1-2 @ 6.76% 0-2 @ 4.24% 1-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.39% |
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