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Thursday, December 26
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Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 12, 2021 at 1.30pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
FS

Sparta
3 - 1
Sittard

Smeets (21'), Thy (29'), Emegha (73')
Beugelsdijk (42'), Pinto (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Seuntjens (49')
Flemming (63')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawFortuna Sittard
47.75%24.86%27.39%
Both teams to score 54.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.66%48.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.52%70.48%
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.71%20.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.35%52.65%
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.23%31.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.8%68.19%
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 47.74%
    Fortuna Sittard 27.39%
    Draw 24.85%
Sparta RotterdamDrawFortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 9.4%
2-0 @ 8.2%
3-1 @ 5%
3-0 @ 4.36%
3-2 @ 2.87%
4-1 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.74%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 47.74%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 6.44%
2-2 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 7.39%
1-2 @ 6.76%
0-2 @ 4.24%
1-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 27.39%

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