SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 53.07%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 53.07% | 22% | 24.94% |
| Both teams to score 61.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.57% | 37.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.35% | 59.66% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.77% | 14.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.02% | 41.99% |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.13% | 27.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.52% | 63.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 7.74% 2-0 @ 7.54% 3-1 @ 6.26% 3-0 @ 4.9% 3-2 @ 4% 4-1 @ 3.05% 4-0 @ 2.39% 4-2 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.19% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.49% Total : 53.07% | 1-1 @ 9.88% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 3.97% 3-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 0.29% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-1 @ 5.07% 0-2 @ 3.24% 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.63% Total : 24.94% |
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