SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 12.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-3 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
12.66% ( -0.33) | 16.74% ( -0.04) | 70.6% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 56.84% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.11% ( -0.69) | 32.88% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.41% ( -0.8) | 54.59% ( 0.8) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.97% ( -0.95) | 38.02% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.21% ( -0.93) | 74.79% ( 0.94) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.71% ( -0.09) | 8.29% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.07% ( -0.24) | 28.93% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.81% Total : 12.66% | 1-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.2% Total : 16.74% | 0-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 8.11% ( 0.19)0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 7.84% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 5.05% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 4.88% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.11)0-5 @ 2.52% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 2.43% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.08)2-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)0-6 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)1-6 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.31% Total : 70.6% |
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