Ajax have enjoyed the better of this fixture to a large degree and it is hard to see that changing here. We expect a comfortable victory for the defending champions, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 84.56%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 5.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.88%) and 4-0 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.79%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-2 (1.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Cambuur
84.56% ( -1.23)	9.51% ( 0.74)	5.93% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 59.14% (

-0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

82.35% (

-1.99)

17.65% (

1.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

65.33% (

-3.02)

34.67% (

3.02)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.08% (

-0.45)

2.92% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

86.77% (

-1.61)

13.23% (

1.61)

Cambuur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.92% (

-0.7)

39.08% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.2% (

-0.66)

75.79% (

0.66)

Score Analysis

Ajax 84.56%

Cambuur 5.93%

Draw 9.51%

Ajax	Draw	Cambuur
3-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 7.41% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.62) 4-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.47) 5-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.24) 5-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.33) 1-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.52) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.12) 6-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.29) 6-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.34) 5-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.2) 7-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.23) 7-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.25) 6-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.19) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.06) Other @ 5.21% Total : 84.56%	1-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.28% Total : 9.51%	1-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.1% Total : 5.93%