SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | PSV Eindhoven | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | RKC Waalwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | SBV Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | FC Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | FC Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | FC Utrecht |
35.22% ( 0.96) | 24.68% ( -0) | 40.1% ( -0.96) |
| Both teams to score 58.73% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.67% ( 0.19) | 44.32% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.3% ( 0.18) | 66.7% ( -0.18) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.37% ( 0.64) | 24.63% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.85% ( 0.89) | 59.15% ( -0.89) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.92% ( -0.38) | 22.08% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.57% ( -0.58) | 55.43% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.22% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.1% |
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