Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 79.06%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 8.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.12%) and 1-2 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.57%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (2.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
