While Fortuna Sittard's record against Waalwijk will provide them with a much-needed boost ahead of this weekend's game, the hosts are in better form than their counterparts and should be considered the favourites to claim all three points.
Plenty of goalmouth action is to be expected at the Mandemakers Stadion and we can see Waalwijk edging out the visitors to secure their first win against them since April 2017.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 19.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
