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A
Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Dec 22, 2021 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
FS

Ajax
5 - 0
Sittard

Blind (14'), Antony (22'), Rensch (82'), Haller (90' pen., 90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

van Osch (90+2')

We said: Ajax 4-0 Fortuna Sittard

Ajax were back to their best in the victory over Feyenoord last time out and will head into this one full of confidence. We are backing them to cruise to victory come the full-time whistle, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 95.83%. A draw had a probability of 3.2% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 0.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 4-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.04%) and 5-0 (11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.5%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (0.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawFortuna Sittard
95.83%3.2%0.97%
Both teams to score 35.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
86.59%13.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
71.83%28.16%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
98.83%1.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
93.6%6.4%
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
36.34%63.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.59%92.41%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 95.8%
    Fortuna Sittard 0.97%
    Draw 3.2%
AjaxDrawFortuna Sittard
4-0 @ 12.32%
3-0 @ 11.04%
5-0 @ 11%
6-0 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 7.43%
4-1 @ 5.57%
7-0 @ 5.22%
3-1 @ 4.99%
5-1 @ 4.97%
6-1 @ 3.7%
2-1 @ 3.35%
1-0 @ 3.33%
8-0 @ 2.91%
7-1 @ 2.36%
9-0 @ 1.45%
8-1 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 1.26%
3-2 @ 1.13%
5-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 95.8%
1-1 @ 1.5%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 3.2%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 0.97%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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