Even though Saturday's match could go either way, Volendam's inability to secure away results means Waalwijk should edge the encounter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 49.49%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for RKC Waalwijk in this match.