SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
38.99% ( 0.57) | 25% ( 0.01) | 36% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 57.67% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.26% ( -0.09) | 45.74% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.94% ( -0.09) | 68.05% ( 0.09) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.74% ( 0.25) | 23.25% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.83% ( 0.37) | 57.17% ( -0.36) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% ( -0.37) | 24.85% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.55% ( -0.51) | 59.45% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 38.99% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 25% | 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.84% Total : 36% |
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