SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 77.65%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 7.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.79%) and 1-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 0-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
77.65% ( 1.45) | 14.45% ( -0.47) | 7.9% ( -0.97) |
| Both teams to score 46.21% ( -2.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.14% ( -1.29) | 36.86% ( 1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.96% ( -1.41) | 59.04% ( 1.41) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.27% ( 0.02) | 7.73% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.47% ( 0.03) | 27.53% ( -0.03) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.08% ( -3.16) | 49.92% ( 3.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.4% ( -2.3) | 84.6% ( 2.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-0 @ 12.64% ( 0.8) 3-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.69)1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.62)2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.44)4-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.32)5-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.2)6-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.1)6-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.53% Total : 77.64% | 1-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.37)Other @ 0.68% Total : 14.45% | 0-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.9% Total : 7.9% |
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