SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Groningen |
42.54% ( 0.3) | 24.21% ( -0) | 33.25% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 59.9% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.42% ( -0.08) | 42.57% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.02% ( -0.08) | 64.97% ( 0.07) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.8% ( 0.1) | 20.19% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.5% ( 0.16) | 52.49% ( -0.17) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.05% ( -0.22) | 24.94% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.42% ( -0.3) | 59.57% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 42.54% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.67% Total : 33.25% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
