SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 19.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Heerenveen |
58.7% ( 1.31) | 21.59% ( -0.05) | 19.71% ( -1.26) |
| Both teams to score 55.9% ( -1.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.06% ( -1.55) | 41.94% ( 1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.65% ( -1.57) | 64.35% ( 1.58) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.02% ( -0.1) | 13.98% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.51% ( -0.2) | 41.49% ( 0.2) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.98% ( -2.13) | 35.02% ( 2.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.24% ( -2.3) | 71.76% ( 2.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.62)2-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.58)3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.36)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.08% Total : 58.7% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.29)0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.33)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.58% | 1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.95% Total : 19.71% |
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