Both sides went into the international break off the back of solid performances and will return to action rested and full of confidence. While Fortuna did win the last encounter between these sides, they have struggled to secure victory at this venue. Heerenveen have an impressive record at home this term, and we are backing them to claim another scalp in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 63.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 16.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
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