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Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Feb 2, 2024 at 7pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
E

Almere City
2 - 1
Excelsior

Resink (43'), Widell (68' og.)
Pena (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Parrott (26')
Widell (20'), Baas (47'), Sandra (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 2-0 Almere City
Saturday, January 27 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 1-1 SBV Excelsior

Both sides have cause for optimism based on their results in recent weeks, and we anticipate a tight encounter on Friday with a share of the spoils being the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Almere City in this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawSBV Excelsior
49.08% (0.202 0.2) 22.9% (-0.055 -0.05) 28.01% (-0.15 -0.15)
Both teams to score 61.58% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.91% (0.151 0.15)39.08% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.59% (0.158 0.16)61.41% (-0.161 -0.16)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81% (0.127 0.13)16.18% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.34% (0.235 0.23)45.66% (-0.238 -0.24)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)26.53% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.27% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)61.73% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 49.08%
    SBV Excelsior 28.01%
    Draw 22.9%
Almere CityDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.82% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.74% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.32% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.61% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.015 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 49.08%
1-1 @ 10.37% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.29% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.68% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.9%
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.7% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.78% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.77%
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 28.01%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: PSV 2-0 Almere City
Saturday, January 27 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-0 Sittard
Wednesday, January 24 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-2 Sittard
Wednesday, January 17 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Volendam 0-1 Almere City
Sunday, January 14 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Katwijk 1-2 Almere City
Thursday, December 21 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Almere City 5-0 Vitesse
Sunday, December 17 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 1-1 Utrecht
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 3-0 Heerenveen
Friday, January 19 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-2 Groningen
Tuesday, January 16 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: PSV 3-1 Excelsior
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Spakenburg 2-3 Excelsior
Tuesday, December 19 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Excelsior 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Saturday, December 16 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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