SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 71.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 12.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 3-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
71.16% ( 0.09) | 16.68% ( 0.1) | 12.15% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 55.32% ( -1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.99% ( -1.04) | 34.01% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.12% ( -1.19) | 55.88% ( 1.19) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.55% ( -0.24) | 8.45% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.67% ( -0.59) | 29.33% ( 0.59) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.43% ( -1.01) | 39.57% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.74% ( -0.95) | 76.26% ( 0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.17)1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.35)3-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.11)5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.07)6-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.08% Total : 71.15% | 1-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.18% Total : 16.68% | 1-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 1.44% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.61% Total : 12.15% |
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