SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
37.28% ( 0.32) | 26.25% ( -0.19) | 36.46% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.38% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.74% ( 0.78) | 51.25% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.91% ( 0.68) | 73.09% ( -0.68) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.3% ( 0.55) | 26.7% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.04% ( 0.72) | 61.96% ( -0.72) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% ( 0.29) | 27.17% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.42% ( 0.38) | 62.58% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 1-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.33% 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.28% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.46% |
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