SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
38.76% ( 0.4) | 24.72% ( 0.09) | 36.52% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 58.76% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.64% ( -0.48) | 44.35% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.27% ( -0.47) | 66.73% ( 0.46) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.24% ( -0.01) | 22.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.56% ( -0.01) | 56.44% ( 0.01) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( -0.49) | 23.93% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.85% ( -0.7) | 58.15% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.76% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.71% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.04% Total : 36.52% |
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