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Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
FU

Sparta
1 - 4
Utrecht

Lauritsen (90+1' pen.)
Clement (39')
van der Kust (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jensen (15'), Rodriguez (85'), Aaronson (88'), van der Hoorn (90+5')
van der Hoorn (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 2-0 Sparta
Saturday, October 26 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 0-2 Feyenoord
Sunday, October 27 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-3 FC Utrecht

Despite recently suffering a first defeat of the season against Feyenoord, Utrecht have made a blistering start to proceedings this term and will definitely take some stopping this weekend.   We are backing the visitors to come out triumphant at the end of the 90 minutes in what should be an exciting affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawFC Utrecht
38.76% (0.403 0.4) 24.72% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 36.52% (-0.5 -0.5)
Both teams to score 58.76% (-0.381 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.64% (-0.478 -0.48)44.35% (0.477 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.27% (-0.467 -0.47)66.73% (0.464 0.46)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.24% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)22.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.56% (-0.012 -0.01)56.44% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07% (-0.488 -0.49)23.93% (0.486 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.85% (-0.699 -0.7)58.15% (0.698 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 38.76%
    FC Utrecht 36.52%
    Draw 24.71%
Sparta RotterdamDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.06% (0.164 0.16)
2-0 @ 5.97% (0.12 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 38.76%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.45% (0.112 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.71%
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-1 @ 7.79% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.57% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 36.52%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-0 Sparta
Saturday, October 26 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 2-2 Almere City
Saturday, October 19 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-1 Sparta
Saturday, October 5 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 1-1 Sittard
Saturday, September 28 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-2 Sparta
Saturday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 1-2 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, September 15 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 0-2 Feyenoord
Sunday, October 27 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 0-1 Utrecht
Sunday, October 20 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 3-2 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, October 5 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-2 Utrecht
Sunday, September 29 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 3-2 Willem II
Saturday, September 21 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 2-1 FC Twente
Sunday, September 1 at 11.15am in Eredivisie


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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