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FU
Eredivisie | 1st Leg
Jun 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
SR

Utrecht
1 - 2
Sparta

Douvikas (70')
Douvikas (28'), Klaiber (34')
FT(HT: 0-2)
van Crooij (29' pen.), Lauritsen (39')
Olij (34'), Sambo (45+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 3-2 Emmen
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 0-5 Sparta
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 2-2 Sparta Rotterdam

With both teams in good form, this should prove to be a competitive tie over the second legs. Goals have not been in short supply for either side, and it leads us to predict an entertaining share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawSparta Rotterdam
47.75% (0.10599999999999 0.11) 24.13% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 28.12% (-0.119 -0.12)
Both teams to score 57.36% (-0.117 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.32% (-0.114 -0.11)44.68% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.95% (-0.111 -0.11)67.04% (0.105 0.11)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)18.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.72% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)50.27% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.67% (-0.143 -0.14)29.32% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.7% (-0.175 -0.17)65.3% (0.16900000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 47.75%
    Sparta Rotterdam 28.12%
    Draw 24.13%
FC UtrechtDrawSparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.22% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.7% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.28% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 47.75%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.52% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.13%
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 28.12%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Utrecht 3-2 Emmen
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 3-1 Utrecht
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 2-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, May 13 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Cambuur 0-3 Utrecht
Saturday, May 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 3-1 Utrecht
Sunday, April 23 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 FC Twente
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 0-5 Sparta
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 4-1 Cambuur
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 2-1 Sparta
Saturday, May 13 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 0-1 PSV
Saturday, May 6 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 3-3 Sparta
Sunday, April 23 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 4-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, April 15 at 8pm in Eredivisie


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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