SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 71.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 12.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 3-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
71.93% ( 0.05) | 15.6% ( -0.02) | 12.47% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.07% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.5% ( -0.02) | 27.5% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.89% ( -0.02) | 48.11% ( 0.02) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.27% ( 0) | 6.73% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.12% ( 0.02) | 24.88% ( -0.02) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.47% ( -0.06) | 34.53% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.75% ( -0.07) | 71.25% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 8.09% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 5.46% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.95% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.9% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.57% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.33% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.25% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 3.8% Total : 71.93% | 1-1 @ 6.67% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.32% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 15.6% | 1-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.47% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.31% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 12.47% |
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