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Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
WL

Utrecht
3 - 2
RKC Waalwijk

Viergever (28'), Aaronson (51'), Min (52')
Ohio (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cleonise (2'), Margaret (80' pen.)
Meijers (26')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-2 Utrecht
Sunday, September 29 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-2 Ajax
Sunday, September 29 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 2-0 RKC Waalwijk

Both these sides have completely contrasting records this season, and with seven losses in a row, it is difficult to make much of a case for RKC Waalwijk in this one. Utrecht have picked up four wins on the bounce ahead of this match and we feel they will extend that record with another victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 68.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 13.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawRKC Waalwijk
68.39% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 17.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 13.7% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.46% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.91% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)36.09% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.8% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)58.2% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)9.62% (-0.0078999999999994 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.86% (0.021999999999991 0.02)32.14% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.36% (-0.104 -0.1)38.64% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.62% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)75.38% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 68.38%
    RKC Waalwijk 13.7%
    Draw 17.91%
FC UtrechtDrawRKC Waalwijk
2-0 @ 10.18% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.95% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 4.66% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.18% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 2.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 68.38%
1-1 @ 8.28% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.72% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.91%
1-2 @ 3.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.53% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.68% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 13.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AZ 1-2 Utrecht
Sunday, September 29 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 3-2 Willem II
Saturday, September 21 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 2-1 FC Twente
Sunday, September 1 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-2 Utrecht
Saturday, August 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 1-1 Utrecht
Saturday, August 17 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, August 11 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-2 Ajax
Sunday, September 29 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-2 Sparta
Saturday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Willem II 3-0 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, September 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-3 AZ
Friday, August 30 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 2-0 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, August 25 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-2 Groningen
Saturday, August 17 at 8pm in Eredivisie


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