SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 69.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 13.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 3-1 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
69.08% ( 0.43) | 17.1% ( -0.12) | 13.82% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 59.03% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.24% ( -0.15) | 31.76% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.72% ( -0.18) | 53.28% ( 0.18) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.67% ( 0.06) | 8.33% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.96% ( 0.13) | 29.04% ( -0.13) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.39% ( -0.52) | 35.61% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.62% ( -0.54) | 72.38% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.53% Total : 69.08% | 1-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.25% Total : 17.1% | 1-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.21% Total : 13.82% |
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