SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
48.75% ( -0) | 24.42% ( -0.01) | 26.83% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.35% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.13% ( 0.06) | 46.86% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.88% ( 0.06) | 69.12% ( -0.06) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.71% ( 0.02) | 19.28% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.97% ( 0.04) | 51.03% ( -0.04) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.57% ( 0.05) | 31.42% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.2% ( 0.05) | 67.8% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.5% 2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.5% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 48.75% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.06% 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 26.83% |
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